Desk · Development / financing · NdPr / LREE
ASX:ARU
Arafura Rare Earths
Nolans FID taken May 2026. $1.6B Australian NdPr mine, construction from September, first oxide mid-2029.
Medium-strong
Pulse Timeline
Isoelectric line is the baseline Pulse. Spike height is catalyst strength. Wide gaps or a flat line = stalled progress / life support.
- 1) 05-21 Build
- 2) 09-15 Build
- 3) 06-01 Oxide
Lead II · 25 mm/s · Pulse 10 mm/mV · snapshot 2026-08-22
Building
Cadence is real, not yet a cluster. Next print has to land.
- Last beat
- 93d
- Beats / 90d
- 0
- Recent gap
- —
1 beats in 180d
- — Last material beat 93d ago — FID on $1.6B Nolans.
- — Next: Construction start (24d).
- — Government / strategic paper is on the tape.
Trading
- Last
- A$0.210
- 1d
- 0.0%
- Mkt cap
- $937M
- Volume
- 17.4M
- 52-week
- A$0.11 – A$0.42
- 1m
- —
- 3m
- —
- 1y
- —
Shares — · EV / MagREO $17M/kt · snapshot, not a live tape
Company & people
HQ
Perth, Australia
Focus
NdPr / LREE · Monazite / HMS
CEO Darryl Cuzzubbo
- Darryl Cuzzubbo, MD
- Mark Southey, Chair
Mine / project
Flagship
Nolans
Location
Northern Territory, Australia · Australia
Deposit
Phosphate-hosted fluorapatite / monazite
Resource
Nolans ~56 Mt at ~2.6% TREO. Planned ~4,400 tpa NdPr oxide. 500 t NdPr earmarked to a critical minerals reserve.
NdPr / MagREO
NdPr-dominant phosphate REE; uranium/thorium is the known flowsheet fact.
Desk basket
56 Mt · 2.6% TREO · 55 kt MagREO (desk) · 44,000 t NdPr (desk)
Radioactivity
High U/Th — licensing is part of the thesis
Capital, loans, grants & support
Australian government offtake
Critical minerals reserve offtake (500 t NdPr) + prior NAIF/EFA process
Hyundai / Kia (hist.) offtake
Long-dated NdPr offtake framework
- Critical minerals reserve 500 t NdPr
- Hyundai/Kia framework
The Pulse
FID is the pulse. Construction in September, first oxide 2029. Radioactivity is priced in. The remaining tape is whether $1.6B stays $1.6B once earthworks start.
ASX only. A producing Australian NdPr mine does not need Nasdaq; US defense offtake would be the listing argument later.
Next: 15 Sept 2026 — Nolans construction start (September 2026)
Nasdaq path
Home listing is not Nasdaq. Bid price, registration, and a real asset gate are.
- 01 · DoneASX listing
Primary listing ARU. FID-stage Australian NdPr mine. Home board is not the problem.
- 02 · LiveUS OTC (ARAFF)
Pink/OTCID ~US$0.15. Access, not a market. Do not confuse this with OTCQB.
- 03 · GapDTC eligibility
No DTC print. US brokers will not warehouse this cleanly until they do.
- 04 · GapUS holder tape
Hyundai/Kia framework and an Australian reserve offtake are not a US register.
- 05 · NextNolans construction15 Sept 2026
Construction guided September 2026, first oxide mid-2029. Build the mine first.
- 06 · GapSEC registration
No 20-F. A producing Australian NdPr mine still has to file if it wants Nasdaq.
- 07 · GapNasdaq $4 bid
Last ~A$0.21 / ~US$0.14. ~28× below $4. A reverse split here would be cosmetic.
- 08 · GapNasdaq application
Not a 2026 job. US defense offtake would be the listing argument later. Construction is the tape.
Catalysts
- 21 May 2026FID on $1.6B Nolans construction
- 15 Sept 2026Construction start construction
- 1 Jun 2029First production (guided) production
Journal
Desk note
Stays on this device. Not the press release.
Pulse = Catalyst proximity + government/strategic support + Nasdaq-path / listing signals + valuation & execution + stage progress. Method
